Industry

Africa Oil aims to increase direct interest in key assets. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

Orange Basin-situated Block 3B/4B offshore South Africa sees further reshuffling of interests as Africa Oil Corporation has acquired 1.0% additional share from partner Azinam Limited, a subsidiary of Eco Atlantic Oil & Gas Limited 

Last year, Africa Oil had announced a farm down agreement for Block 3B/4B with TotalEnergies and QatarEnergy, which includes the transfer of operatorship of the Block to TotalEnergies. Total enjoys a 33.00% interest, followed by a 24.00% interest by QatarEnergy, 19.75% interest by Ricocure, 18.00% interest by Africa Oil, and a 5.25% interest by Eco Atlantic. 

First drilling

“This transaction is another step in delivering the strategy of increasing direct interest in Africa Oil’s key assets, including our opportunity set in the Orange Basin, a region with high levels of industry interest and activity. We thank Eco Atlantic's management for their collaborative approach in working with us since 2017, and we look forward to further progress towards the drilling of the first exploration well on Block 3B/4B,” said Roger Tucker, CEO, Africa Oil.

While an Environmental Authorisation has been granted by the Department of Mineral Resources and Energy for the Republic of South Africa, the partners are currently awaiting relevant approvals to begin drilling of as many as five exploration wells. Approximately 14,000 sq km of 2D seismic and 10,800 sq km of 3D seismic make up Block 3B/4B, with the greatest prospects lying in an estimated water depth of 1,500m. It is said that the Block holds resources of approximately four billion barrels of oil equivalent.

A sale and purchase agreement is in place. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

Vantage Drilling International Ltd has created a joint venture entity with TotalEnergies called TEVA Ship Charter LLC

The entity have all definitive agreements executed to acquire the Tungsten Explorer rig, which is currently held under contract for operations in Congo. Once completed, a sale and purchase agreement has been put in place to take over the rig, besides a management agreement that allows Vantage its operation for 10 years with the option to extend for an additional five years.

Offshore drilling collaboration

Ihab Toma, CEO of Vantage Drilling, said, “We are proud to partner with TotalEnergies in this joint venture, marking a significant milestone for both companies. The creation of TEVA and the execution of all definitive agreements reinforce our shared commitment to value creation through collaboration and creative business models in offshore drilling. We look forward to leveraging our expertise to ensure the long-term success of this partnership.”

The policy will ensure local collaboration. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

The National Upstream Local Content Policy now stands official post approval by the government of Namibia 

As Namibia continues to give international-scale discoveries since the last few years, this new policy will be put into place to navigate the high-risk investment zone it is turning into. The region's rapid upstream growth have also triggered its digital advancement with companies such as Baker Hughes and Halliburton entering the market. 

Prioritising local content

Under the supervision of the Ministry of Mines and Energy, the policy will serve in alignment with the country's broader development frameworks, such as the National Development Plan, Harambee Prosperity Plan and Vision 2030, to realise the goal of an industrialised economy that is primarily led by local expertise and resources. 

While ensuring regulatory flexibility for investors, the new policy also mandates operators to submit extensive 'Local Content Plans' in their proposal for exploration and production license acquisition. This implies clarifying the operators' collaboration plans with indigenous workforces and services. 

The phase out of cuts shift from 12 months to 18 months. (Image source: Rystad Energy)

OPEC+ members have extended the voluntary adjustments of 1.65 million bpd announced in April 2023 until the end of December 2026

The organisation has extended the additional voluntary adjustments of 2.2 million bpd announced in November 2023 until the end of March 2025, with shifting the phase out from September  2025 to September 2026
New compensation schedules for overproducing countries will be submitted by the end of December 2024. 

“Oil markets have been anxiously awaiting this OPEC+ meeting since the US election results made clear a Trump 2.0 presidency was on the horizon. Trump’s tariff-forward stance toward China and persisting weak demand provided the group with all of the encouragement needed to extend production cuts until the first quarter of 2025. The overall signal to the market is constructive and will likely prevent any price downsides in the short term. The announcement makes crystal clear that the group is worried about both a potential supply glut and a lack of compliance with production targets among member countries,” said Mukesh Sahdev, global head of commodity markets, Rystad Energy.

Addressing supply glut

The latest OPEC+ announcement hints that compliance among members is a concern. The organisation, however, has maintained that monthly changes can be paused or reversed at any time.

With the latest announcement, the production profile and oil balances clearly indicate an acknowledgment of the emerging supply glut without the extension in 2025.

The phase out of cuts shift from 12 months to 18 months is constructive for the crude balances for 2025, with a swing from average 0.7 million bpd surplus to average 0.3 million bpd deficit.

The confirmation that the UAE’s new baseline (300,000 bpd higher) will only start in April 2025 and will be gradually phased in over an 18-month period establishes the country's firm commitment towards OPEC+.

Rystad believes that the non-OPEC+ supply hasn't posed much of a concern for OPEC+.