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Major refinery projects are underway in Africa. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

Major refining projects  are set to transform Africa’s energy landscape and boost self-suffciency

Africa is set to add 1.2mn barrels per day (bpd) of new refining capacity by 2030, representing one of the fastest downstream expansions globally, according to the newly released 2025 OPEC World Oil Outlook.

At the forefront of Africa’s refining expansion is Nigeria’s 650,000-bpd Dangote Refinery, which began operations in 2024 and is already reshaping regional fuel trade dynamics. Further developments include the 200,000-bpd Akwa Ibom Refinery, also in Nigeria, and Angola’s state-driven push to bring online the 200,000-bpd Lobito Refinery and 100,000-bpd Soyo Refinery by 2030.

Uganda’s refining ambitions are taking shape with a 60,000-bpd facility in Hoima, part of the country’s broader Lake Albert basin development plan, while modular refinery projects in Ghana, Guinea-Conakry, the Republic of Congo and additional sites in Nigeria are buiding capacity in markets where infrastructure and financing hurdles persist. In North Africa, Algeria (Hassi Messaoud), Libya (Ubari) and Egypt (Soukhna) are all advancing refinery projects aimed at capturing higher margins, improving domestic supply security and reducing dependency on imports of refined petroleum products.

According to OPEC, Africa will need over US$40bn in refining investments by 2030 to meet its mid-decade objectives, and beyond that, an additional US$60+ billion for refinery construction, modernisation and secondary processing capacity upgrades. This opens a US$100 billion investment opportunity for project developers, institutional investors, sovereign wealth funds and energy-focused private equity.

Africa’s rising domestic consumption of crude – forecast to reach 4.5 million bpd by 2050 from just 1.8 million bpd in 2024 – further underlines the need for investing in downstream infrastructure.
If the continent seizes this momentum, it can move beyond being a raw crude exporter to becoming a competitive, resilient and integrated energy producer.

The 2025 edition of African Energy Week (AEW): Invest in African Energies in Cape Town will provide a platform for governments, operators and financiers to align on next-phase refinery projects, policy incentives and deal pipelines, as countries seek to reduce costly imports and capture more value from domestic crude,

The refinery will have a capacity of 240,000bopd.

Mozambique’s state-owned oil company, Petromoc, has entered a strategic deal with a Nigerian energy firm called Aiteo to develop an oil refinery with a capacity to reach 240,000 barrels-per-day 

The agreement is a two-way blessing as it not only attracts foreign investments for Mozambique in strategic sectors, but also pushes Aiteo to a further influential position as a local company beyond its Nigerian base.

Signed during a formal ceremony chaired by the Mozambican President Daniel Chapo, the agreement will advance energy independence for the country. It will boost fuel supply security, facilitating the construction of one of the largest refineries in southern Africa, and the Southern African Development Community (SADC)

The engineering procurement and construction activities for the refinery will be covered by an American firm called Deerfield Energy Services LLC. The refinery will be developed in a phased manner with an initial aim to install an 80,000 bpd processing unit within a two-year time frame, and gradually scaled up to the maximum capacity.

While the project promises several benefits, the financial, environmental compliance and execution timelines-based risks involved needs consideration. When ready for operation, the plant will be able to produce petrol, diesel, jet fuel and naptha for domestic as well as regional use. 

Calling the project a 'milestone' for its employment generation possibilities, Ransome Owan, Aiteo's group managing director for infrastructure, said, “It will reduce import reliance, create jobs, and lay the foundation for Mozambique to become a leading hub in the region’s downstream energy sector.”

Mozambique is committed to an extensive industrial strategy to advance energy access, economic diversification, and infrastructure development. The refinery falls in line with this strategy as it will ensure greater access to cleaner fuels and advance clean cooking initiatives with the easy availability of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) distribution.

 

 

The new 750-meter quay will double the terminal’s capacity. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

As part of production optimisation strategy, the Republic of Congo is advancing investments on infrastructure development

With aims to expand the container terminal at the Port of Pointe Noire, a €230mn in financing has been generated to onboard freight forwarding service Africa Global Logistics (AGL) for the project.

The new 750-meter quay – scheduled for completion by 2027 – will double the terminal’s capacity to 2.3 million containers annually and support the country’s growing oil and LNG exports.
The Pointe Noire project is being executed by AGL’s subsidiary Congo Terminal in collaboration with engineering firm China Road and Bridge Corporation. Backed by both international and Congolese banks, the €400mn platform will include 26 hectares of quayside, a dredged 17-meter-deep basin, and the installation of 16 gantries. It forms a key part of Congo’s strategy to boost hydrocarbon production to 500,000 barrels of oil per day and LNG output to 3 million tons per annum within five years.

In Angola, AGL also launched operations at its Lobito Terminal in March last year. The terminal – Angola’s second-largest port hub – handles over one million tons of bulk cargo and more than 100,000 20-ft equivalent unit containers annually, with 730 employees operating deepwater berths and modern equipment. The project comes at a pivotal time for Angola, which is preparing to bring several major energy developments online between 2025 and 2028. These include the Cabinda Oil Refinery in 2025, the Agogo Integrated West Hub development in late-2025, the Quiluma and Maboqueiro gas fields in 2026 and the Kaminho Deepwater Development in 2028.

Meanwhile, in Ivory Coast, AGL is playing a vital role in Phase 2 of the Baleine offshore development - West Africa’s first net-zero emissions project. In partnership with engineering firm Saipem, AGL began manufacturing critical subsea structures for the Baleine field in April 2024 at its Carena shipyard in Abidjan. The works include anchoring systems and underwater fixtures totaling over 200 tons, to be deployed in ultra-deep waters. AGL has mobilized 100 skilled local workers – including certified welders, painters and crane operators – reinforcing its commitment to local content, capacity building and sustainable energy infrastructure in Ivory Coast’s rapidly growing oil and gas sector.

AGL’s recent activities in Africa align with its broader vision to support the continent’s energy infrastructure. In addition to the Republic of Congo, Angola and Ivory Coast, the company is currently modernising the Walvis Bay terminal in Namibia while playing a key role in major energy logistics across Mauritania, Senegal and Mozambique. 

 

A robust petrochemicals industry can diversify African economies. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

A thriving local refining sector requires a skilled workforce, which translates into job creation across various levels, from engineers and technicians to construction workers and administrative staff

The development of local refineries can also stimulate growth in related industries, such as transportation, logistics and service sectors, further amplifying employment opportunities.

Building a robust petrochemicals industry enables countries to diversify their economies. Petrochemicals serve as essential inputs for numerous sectors, including agriculture (fertilisers), manufacturing (plastics), and pharmaceuticals. By investing in this industry, countries can reduce their reliance on a single commodity – oil – and create a more resilient economic structure.

By minimising crude oil exports and focusing on value addition, nations can create jobs and stimulate economic growth. This comprehensive strategy not only enhances national wealth but also contributes to the overall well-being of African populations, aligning economic success with social progress.

The concept of ‘profit versus purpose’ serves as a guiding principle in the ongoing debate about energy policy. This framework integrates economic objectives with social and environmental goals, demonstrating that financial success and societal benefit are not mutually exclusive. By prioritising investments that address energy poverty and promote social equity, businesses can contribute to the continent's sustainable development while remaining economically viable.

Investing in energy solutions in underserved regions presents unique challenges, including high initial costs and limited access to traditional financing. However, these challenges also create opportunities for innovative financing mechanisms. Multilateral finance institutions and climate finance initiatives can play the central role in mobilising resources and sharing financial burdens.

Shared value mechanisms allow companies to align their business operations with social impact goals, unlocking new market opportunities while addressing critical issues like energy access. Investing in off-grid renewable energy solutions, for instance, can enable companies to tackle energy poverty while expanding their market reach.

The pathway to unlocking Africa’s oil and gas potential lies in balancing effective governance with the principles of profit for purpose. African governments must create policies that not only attract sustainable investment but also prioritise the welfare of their citizens.

By implementing transparent frameworks, favourable fiscal terms, and innovative financing models, African countries can harness their natural resources for the greater good. This collective responsibility to promote sustainable development will ensure that the benefits of oil and gas investments extend beyond profit, enriching communities and driving long-term economic growth across the continent. 

This is the last of a two-part article written by Taona Kokera, director - head of infrastructure finance advisory at Forvis Mazars in South Africa

A new refinery can enhance the value of local crude. (Image source: Adobe Stock)

In a major step towards local collaboration, Botswana and Namibia are planning to jointly develop an oil refinery to enhance the value of local crude and cut down fuel imports

Namibia's President Netumbo Nandi-Ndaitwah and Botswana's President Duma Boko have discoursed on the idea while the former's recent working visit to Gaborone. 

Other areas of improvement considered was the diamond sector as the nation representatives agreed to engage their respective mining ministers for close coordination to advance revenue generation. 

The Ministers also discussed ways to boost logistics and trade through Namibia's Port of Walvis Bay.

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